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    Politics, Policy and Profits: What will keep global markets on edge this week

    Global markets face a packed and politically charged week ahead as January’s frenetic start shows no sign of easing, with investors bracing for a confluence of political, monetary and corporate developments, according to Reuters.

    The spotlight will be firmly on the Swiss resort of Davos, where political leaders, central bankers, business executives and technology heavyweights gather for the World Economic Forum from January 19 to 23. U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend in person, elevating the stakes for discussions around geopolitics, trade and economic policy. Market participants will be alert to any signals from Washington that could influence global risk sentiment, while artificial intelligence is also expected to feature prominently in boardroom and corridor conversations.

    In the United States, attention will also turn to a legal confrontation that could test the boundaries ofFederal Reserve independence. The Supreme Court is due to hear a case linked to Trump’s attempt to remove Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook, a move that has raised broader concerns about political pressure on the central bank. This development comes against the backdrop of heightened scrutiny of the Fed, following legal action involving outgoing chair Jay Powell, adding another layer of uncertainty for markets that are highly sensitive tointerest rate expectations, Reuters reported.

    Japan is set for a pivotal week as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi moves toward calling a snap election, a decision that investors see as a high-stakes gamble. Despite her relatively strong personal approval ratings, her party continues to struggle in opinion polls. Markets have so far reacted positively, betting that an expanded parliamentary mandate could pave the way for sizeable fiscal stimulus. Japanese equities have surged to record highs, while the yen and longer-dated government bonds have weakened. The political drama may, however, overshadow the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting, where no immediate change in interest rates is widely expected after last month’s hike.

    China will also be firmly in focus as it releases fourth-quarter and full-year gross domestic product data. Expectations are that Beijing has managed to meet its growth target, helped in part by resilient exports despite trade frictions with the United States. Reuters highlighted that China posted a record trade surplus in 2025, underscoring the role of overseas demand in supporting growth. Still, investors remain wary of persistent headwinds from a prolonged property downturn and subdued domestic consumption. Additional data on house prices and retail sales will be closely watched for clues on the need for further policy support.

    On the corporate front, theU.S. earnings seasongathers momentum, with results due from major companies across technology, healthcare and manufacturing. Reports from firms such as Netflix, Johnson & Johnson and Intel are expected to shape sentiment, particularly as investors look for guidance on demand trends and profit margins.While bank earnings have delivered a mixed start to the season, forward-looking commentary from corporate leaders will be critical in sustaining optimism built on expectations of stronger earnings growth in 2026.

    With geopolitics, central bank independence, elections and earnings all converging, this week offers markets plenty to digest, setting the tone for the rest of the month.

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