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    Ukraine and Middle East conflicts boost US arms makers profits

    WASHINGTON – Weapons makers Lockheed Martin and RTX predicted strong profits for the rest of 2025 on Oct 21 as their results benefited from surging demand for arms from conflicts in the Middle East and a protracted Russia-Ukraine war.

    Missiles, munitions and air defences were important drivers for both companies, while Lockheed has been awarded an US$12.5 billion (S$16 billion) contract from the Pentagon, for a total of 296 F-35 jets.

    Sales at RTX, formerly Raytheon, were also driven by a shortage of new commercial jets as maintenance and repair service providers like RTX worked to maintain airlines flying older, cost-intensive fleets. It also benefited from better jet engine sales.

    To be sure, Northrop Grumman trimmed its full-year 2025 sales outlook, but said that it would be more profitable than expected this year. The company said that timing of certain awards to build weapons dimmed the forecast. 

    Beyond the replenishment of weapons that have been expended in global conflicts,

    the Trump administration’s flagship Golden Dome missile defence system

    has bolstered the growth outlook for defence prime contractors. 

    RTX management told Wall Street analysts on a post earnings call that in addition to munitions replenishment, Raytheon was eyeing billions the US will put towards Golden Dome: “Those things are not in our backlog today. So those are potentially, additive to the backlog.”

    The Golden Dome system is estimated to cost US$175 billion, but uncertainty looms over the basic architecture of the project because the number of launchers, interceptors, ground stations, and missile sites needed for the system has yet to be determined.    

    Contractors such as Lockheed, Northrop, RTX, and Boeing, have a variety of missile defence systems that are expected to play a role in the missile defence shield.

    Northrop CEO Kathy Warden told analysts on Oct 21 “we’re very pleased to see the urgency the administration is placing on protecting the homeland and the set of opportunities that creates.”

    Lockheed Martin, the largest defence contractor in the world, raised its 2025 forecast for revenue and profit on Oct 21, driven by sustained demand for its fighter jets and munitions amid escalating geopolitical tensions.

    Lockheed, which makes the F-35 stealth fighters, said its aeronautics segment sales jumped 11.9 per cent to US$7.26 billion in the third quarter.

    Lockheed now expects a profit of US$22.15 to US$22.35 per share for 2025, compared with its previous estimate of US$21.70 to US$22.00.

    Two F-16 and two F-35 fighter jets returning to Danish air base Flyvestation Skrydstrup after patrolling around Denmark at low altitude.PHOTO: REUTERS

    The company also raised the lower end of its sales outlook to US$74.25 billion from US$73.75 billion, while maintaining the higher end at US$74.75 billion.

    Aerospace and defence giant RTX raised its full-year profit and revenue forecast on Oct 21 as well, as rising demand for its missiles and services bolstered its ability to weather negative fallout from tariffs.

    A shortage of new commercial jets is also driving sales at maintenance and repair service providers like RTX, who are banking on airlines flying older, cost-intensive fleets.

    RTX, which makes the GTF engines and competes with CFM International, has benefited from booming demand from planemakers as they ramp up production.

    RTX now expects its full-year adjusted sales between US$86.5 billion and US$87 billion, from its previous forecast of between US$84.75 billion and US$85.5 billion.

    It also raised its adjusted profit forecast to between US$6.10 and US$6.20 per share for 2025, from US$5.80 to US$5.95.

    Northrop Grumman, which also reported results on Oct 21, was the outlier, raising its 2025 profit forecast for a second straight quarter but trimming its full-year 2025 sales outlook. It now expects between US$41.7 billion and US$41.9 billion, compared with its previous forecast of US$42.05 billion-US$42.25 billion. REUTERS

     

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